Tiger Woods could be solely on the books after Masters betting bonanza

Shortly after the Los Angeles Rams defeated the Cincinnati Bengals in the February Super Bowl, the Book at Baldini near Reno, Nevada, opened its outright market for the 2022 Masters, awarding Tiger Woods odds of 100/1 to claim a record-breaking sixth green jacket.

If Woods were to play, he would after a horrific car accident that sidelined him for more than a year and left him with an extremely weak right leg. In light of Woods’ precarious situation, Baldini’s sports betting director Robert Kowalksi said there was virtually no point in betting for the 46-year-old, even at such a high price.

Then came Woods’ announcement on Tuesday morning that he was likely to play in this week’s tournament, which begins on Thursday.

“He’s making his announcement and I now have more money bet in my masters group than at any time in our history here at Baldini,” Kowalski said Wednesday. “I’m amazed. I’ve always had discussions with my colleagues about the importance of Tiger for this game and for the betting pools. It’s insatiable. I keep putting on more and more props, and it’s “It’s just on Tiger. I could put up a lot of matchups – Spieth vs. Morikawa – they’re not betting. It’s all Tiger.”

But while mobile sportsbooks like PointsBet have slashed their odds on a Woods win from 80/1 to 50/1 in the space of 24 hours, Kowalski has so far refused to lower his price below 72/ 1.

“I want all of Tiger Woods’ money, so if Tiger Woods wins, I’m going to have a long talk with the casino owner,” he half-joked, expressing confidence that Woods won’t win. “In the meantime, the prices on the other contenders are very friendly. I have Rahm at 13/1, Spieth at 20/1, Morikawa at 16/1. Prices are still quite juicy with less than 24 hours to go [before the first round starts]but the money keeps flowing to Tiger.

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“The greatest responsibility of a golfer perhaps in history”

Baldini’s may be a relatively small local operation, but the aftershocks of Woods’ decision to move to Augusta are being felt by giants like Caesars, where Assistant Commerce Manager Adam Pullen said, “Most likely, we will enter the tournament with Tiger as our sole responsibility.

While Pullen said it was “a good position for a bookmaker”, he added: “If [Woods] succeeds, many sports betting operators will cry a little, because it will be perhaps the greatest responsibility of a golfer in history. the [long] ratings definitely make people more excited.

And how.

“The tiger’s action over the past 24 hours is nothing like what we’ve seen before,” said PointsBet Trading analyst Mike Korn. “He currently doubles any other golfer in grip and triples any golfer in bets.”

On Wednesday morning, the data provided to Sports handle showed that PointsBet’s liability on Woods was seven times that of his second highest liability (Kevin Kisner at 150/1). One of his clients bet $7,500 on Woods, looking for a profit of $450,000.

Asked if he had seen anything similar to the betting frenzy that ensued following Woods’ announcement, Korn said: “I would say something similar would have been the number of bets that came in on the Bucs after Brady announced he would. come out of retirement. But even that doesn’t come close to tiger mania over the past 24 hours.

“Usually we’re used to the odds swinging the other way when injury news is negative,” said Sunny Gupta, head of sports betting in the United States for typical. “This news is similar to a big free agent signing in the NBA, like when Kawhi Leonard went to the Clippers and [they] traded for Paul George.

“Matthew Fitzpatrick and Tiger Woods have about the same odds on most books of winning the Masters,” Gupta added. “But to make the cut, Fitzpatrick is at -300, while Tiger is about even odds. This illustrates how hard the books attempt to reduce liability in a Tiger Woods Masters victory.

What are Tiger’s real chances?

Which begs the question: what would Woods’ real odds be if his name wasn’t Tiger Woods?

“I think under the current circumstances, Tiger’s true odds of winning are around 200/1, up from 500/1 last week,” observed Jeff Sherman, assistant director of racing and sports at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas. (“Last week” would have been before Woods showed up at Augusta National to play a few practice rounds, which had the gallery buzzing.)

“If you take away his name, and here’s his form line, and he hasn’t played in that number of months, and you don’t know the run history, he’s 500/1,” Pullen said. “But he’s not your average Joe. He is one of the greatest golfers of all time and a multiple winner. It’s a very unique situation. The practice rounds speak volumes, but it certainly wouldn’t be surprising if he revived his game on a course he loves.